What the latest numbers imply for meeting our climate goals

Cross-posted from https://slrpnk.net/post/552642

Here we find that to meet our climate targets, global emissions would have to reach zero in:

  • 1.5C with a 66% chance – 2030
  • 1.5C with a 50% chance – 2035
  • 2C with a 66% chance – 2069
  • 2C with a 50% chance – 2079