• Troy@lemmy.caOP
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    29 days ago

    The analytics are interesting too. From a pure statistics perspective, it actually makes sense to start pulling the goalie at about 8mins left in the third. But fans will have quite an adverse reaction to that (particularly if you do it at home). What’s interesting though is that we’ve gone from pulling with 1min left to 3mins… I suspect that will keep increasing until it converges to the statistical sweet spot, but only a little bit each year so fans don’t react badly.

    • streetfestival@lemmy.ca
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      29 days ago

      From a pure statistics perspective, it actually makes sense to start pulling the goalie at about 8mins left in the third.

      Can you plz elaborate? :)

      • ryathal@sh.itjust.works
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        28 days ago

        Not a stat guy, but I do think about the 5 minute mark makes sense.

        • you have time to recover from an empty net goal.
        • the big advantage is sustained pressure and forcing long shifts, you need time to get some players on the ice for 2+ minutes.
        • drawing a penalty from the extra pressure isn’t very useful if you only get 30 seconds.
        • you can put the goalie back in if you tie it up.
        • you can pull the goalie at a more opportune time when you are established in the zone.
    • stealth_cookies@lemmy.ca
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      29 days ago

      Agreed, teams will develop defensive strategies over time to mitigate the advantages, or if it becomes too strong the rules will be adjusted.