https://xcancel.com/PeterHotez/status/1873162034201960946
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A Bluesky post
So we are screwed?
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It was ment as a fun post, but as some people are genuinely scared. H5N1 is nasty BUT human infection is EXTREMELY rare. There have been less than 1k cases in 20y. You are 80 times more likely to die from lightning strike. If you don’t carry lightning rod around you should not worry.
https://subium.com/profile/volberg.bsky.social/post/3lf5uqfukze2u
Bluesky is funny. The libs are always so excited to shit on Trump - they didn’t even shit on the OP and he really deserves it. He’s impervious to knowledge and reason.
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Peter Jay Hotez (born May 5, 1958) is an American scientist, pediatrician, and advocate in the fields of global health, vaccinology, and neglected tropical disease control. He serves as founding dean of the National School of Tropical Medicine, Professor of Pediatrics and Molecular Virology & Microbiology at Baylor College of Medicine, where he is also Director of the Texas Children’s Hospital Center for Vaccine Development and Endowed Chair in Tropical Pediatrics. He also serves as a University Professor of Biology at Baylor University.
That’s also a 50% survival rate when cases are relatively rare, I don’t know what the fatality rate would be if it’s a widespread pandemic overloading hospitals and streaching resources.
YES! For the ones that survived they almost all, to the last, required weeks long medical care in a medical facility of some sort.
Worse case scenario for this is like COVID where 95% of people must be in hospital for weeks and only half survive.
The likelihood we get worse case scenario is very low, so please don’t doom scroll on me. However, I think people saying, “oh, this is nothing to worry about,” are really misleading. State the reality of the worst case scenario and then state why a mutation like that is extremely unlikely to be that virile while also being highly contagious at the same time. The two generally do not go hand in hand and experts on this particular virus know the details on why this or that mutation for acuteness of infection might inversely affect how contagious it is.
Strong feeling that number drops to 0% as the people saving lives start dropping like flies. I recommend everyone talk to their nurses about their feelings on PPE and how COVID was handled. You’ll find a lot wte fucking insane and would cause the hospitals to collapse and die from something like this.
Imagine the US has a surprisingly large number of “isolated” cases of bird flu and the experts are still try to pacify us.
I had a iffy situation like I badly cut my hand slicing a bagel - I’d do self-diagnosis even though I have zero medical training. Instead of me just going to the ER - I’d do my best to answer the tricky question: “Can I avoid going to the ER?” It seems to me any hospital in the US from the smallest to the largest could potentially be ground zero for that plague. And anybody in that hospital from a clueless patient to a doctor who should really know better could be a carrier.