• protist
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    15 days ago

    Seems like from all the cows that have been infected, none have fallen seriously ill and all have fully recovered. Among the hundreds (thousands?) of cows that have been infected, are we at 3 total people who have caught it from them? And all had a minor illness and made a full recovery.

    • usernamesAreTricky@lemmy.mlOP
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      15 days ago

      Keep in mind that testing volumes are rather low. The number of cases is like higher than what we’re seeing reported. Both for cows, humans, and other species. In general, other species than cows have not fared as well:

      One month ago:

      More than half of cats around the first Texas dairy farm to test positive for bird flu this spring died after drinking raw milk from the infected cows, scientists reported this week

      https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cats-died-after-drinking-milk-bird-flu-infected-cows/

      In general, at least with previous variants of H5N1, it’s usually seen an ~50% mortality rate in humans. Its possible the current spreading variant could be different, but we should not undermine its potential to be very deadly.

      But in the hundreds of cases where humans have been infected through contact with animals over the past 20 years, “the mortality rate is extraordinarily high”, Farrar said, because humans have no natural immunity to the virus.

      From 2003 to 2024, 889 cases and 463 deaths caused by H5N1 have been reported worldwide from 23 countries, according to the WHO, putting the case fatality rate at 52%.

      https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/apr/18/risk-bird-flu-spreading-humans-enormous-concern-who

      • protist
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        15 days ago

        What you’re saying is all true. It’s also true that that 50% mortality rate is almost certainly also heavily skewed because of a lack of testing, meaning that fatal cases are much more likely to be tested for the specific variant responsible. This is even more probable given the overwhelming majority of cases and deaths over the past 20 years have occurred in developing nations, in the same way the overwhelming majority of all flu deaths occur in developing nations. It remains to be seen what the actual case fatality rate is, which due to the rarity of infection we won’t be able to determine unless it starts passing between humans.

        Over 700,000 people die every year from common variants of the flu, where 463 people total have died over the past 20 years from H5N1. We should always be working to reduce flu mortality, and this H5N1 outbreak is certainly something to watch closely and be prepared for potentialities, but also the sky is not falling.

        • queermunist she/her@lemmy.ml
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          15 days ago

          The same COVID denial playbook will be trotted out for this next pandemic and you’ll just nod along. There will be no mask mandates, nothing will be shut down, we will not go back to any of the lockdown policies, we’ll get nothing and you’ll be just fine with that because it’s just the flu.

          I’ll be watching what China does. They seem to take this shit seriously, unlike our clown county.

          • protist
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            14 days ago

            I didn’t deny COVID at all, instead I worked in a hospital the entire pandemic, asshole. You’re so bent out of shape by someone who has a slightly different idea of reality than you that you just make shit up about them in your head to justify your negative thoughts. Go to therapy.

            • queermunist she/her@lemmy.ml
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              14 days ago

              The pandemic didn’t end, people are still dying from COVID; we just stopped caring because it’s too hard to deal with sustainably. I’d say you’re pretty normal, but that’s still denial.

              COVID is just the flu and bird flu is just COVID, nothing matters, let the bodies pile up.

              • protist
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                14 days ago

                COVID is just the flu and bird flu is just COVID, nothing matters, let the bodies pile up.

                I didn’t say this. No one here said this. This is called a straw man.

                • queermunist she/her@lemmy.ml
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                  14 days ago

                  Seems like from all the cows that have been infected, none have fallen seriously ill and all have fully recovered. Among the hundreds (thousands?) of cows that have been infected, are we at 3 total people who have caught it from them? And all had a minor illness and made a full recovery.

                  You’re clearly saying it’s no big deal. 🙄

                  • protist
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                    14 days ago

                    Over 700,000 people die every year from common variants of the flu, where 463 people total have died over the past 20 years from H5N1. We should always be working to reduce flu mortality, and this H5N1 outbreak is certainly something to watch closely and be prepared for potentialities, but also the sky is not falling.

                    It’s literally not a big deal right now, because there have been zero cases of human to human transmission. You’re treating this like it’s the same as COVID already, but it’s not