I miss beltway garage
Trump odds up to 60%
The polls shows that people like republicans. Kamala should try to be more like a republican to win back voters.
Here is what she should do to make swing state voters like her more:
- Pressure “Israel” to be more genocidal. Make aid conditional on kill quotas.
- Negative taxes for oligarchs but only the evil ones
- A nuke for every police department. Cops have the right to defend themselves
- Castle doctrine for Zybertrukkk owners against bicycles
- A programme promoting bullying in schools to teach children to “toughen up”
- Make it illegal to hurt fascists’ feelings
I hate triangulators I hate triangulators I hate triangulators.
danish politics.
Socialdemokratiet (The socialdemocratic party) stole a bunch of voters from Dansk Folkeparti (Danish peoples party and by Danish we mean wink wink) by being as racist as them.
The point of doing that was to prevent dansk Folkeparti from getting into government, which would be bad because they had racist politics.
Insert meme where Spongebob and Patrick, labeled as SOCIALDEMOKRATER, stand in the middle of a burning city exclaiming “we did it Patrick, we stopped the racists from getting into government!” :::You know what they say: The only way to fight a bad guy with a racism, is a good guy with a racism.
Wow how did all these bigots get into government? Oh well no time to think about that, we have to do austerity otherwise the right-wing will get elected and they might do austerity!
Boy I sure am glad to be a succdem in government, because I am ideologically socialdemocratic then that logically means my policies are as well. Anyway gotta cut funding to schools and give americans some military bases
And in the process the succdems forgot why the Danish People’s Party was bad in the first place and became just as racist as them. There’s no sign any more of “if they get in they will do bad stuff”, it’s just “they’re taking our phoney baloney jobs and we want them back”
Yeah and the weird thing is everyone who was against it said that that is exactly would happen and even as it was happening they were told they were hyperbolic/alarmist by the socialdemocrats.
Now it seems like no one even remembers it happened at all. Real “we’ve always been at war with Oceania” type shit.Edit: and they’d probably be down with making a coalition government with them
“We must not fall behind in the kittens-thrown-over-a-cliff-gap, mien fuhrer.”The only thing missing is there needs to be more emphasis on brat. A Kamala win is a win for women. Slay kween. It’s all about identity!
ITS HER TURN
you’re hired!
I think this is overly confident towards Trump’s chances. But if Kamala loses, we’d have Hillary 2.0. Has she tweeted about her birthday?
You’re not gonna believe it, but it was her birthday two days ago and
I can’t believe I missed that when I called it
Anyway they’re turbo fucked lmao
WE HAVE YOU SURROUNDED
STEP AWAY FROM THE LATHE
Oh she is cooked
The graph portrays 48.4 about 70% taller than 47.3
Yeah, it’s disingenuous at least to fuck with the
yaxis like this1 percent is also assuredly in the margin of error. There’s no way this is a significant difference.
It’s a betting market not a poll, there isn’t any “margin of error”. This doesn’t tell you who would win, it tells you what the website’s users are willing to bet on.
In the post body, yes. But is the post image not poll results?
Dunno, it isn’t labeled or sourced.
Well, OP calls it “swing state polling”, to be fair :)
Take it up with the RCP people
yeah rcp’s been going through a not-so-sneaky rightwards shift for a while lol
Like the actual platform or this data set in particular
Both- they’ve been putting more conservative think pieces on their news article section than they used to, and they also prioritize pollsters like Trafalgar and Rasmussen, which are run by qanon-lite guys
this is incredible, democrats are absolute professionals at losing lmao
Betting is polling like markets are democracy
Markets are a much better predictor of policy than “democracy” in amerikkka (whatever that means lol)
Yeah, markets that involve people with the power to buy out politicians, not just Steve spending a fraction of his paycheck on Teflon Don’s assured victory
the only thing more lib than voting for Democrats is following polls. Also, betting markets? lol.
This is /c/electoralism
McDonald’s Magic
Who could have predicted this? Certainly not leftists…
Hey I know what could help our campaign, what if we get Hillary on as an advisor? What’s the worst that could happen?
What if we got Hillary, but she calls herself Republican? Like Liz Cheney, maybe?
I envision Reagans brain in a jar like a Futurama skit, cracking jokes, being loveable
What if Hilary just changes parties. Or her and Liz form a new center republican party
Anyone who worked on Clinton’s campaign should have been chased out of politics completely. There’s no reason she should have lost to Trump, yet she did due to entitlement and hubris. Any Clinton staffer who came to me for a job on Biden’s or Harris’ (or even some fucking city treasurer in a town of 500 people) campaign would immediately been told to fuck off and go get a job in another industry.
By this time in 2020 Biden was super up in the polls right, so was hillary? It was never this close
Does thread think the Dems (and even Republicans, why not) target’ is to only be ever ~51% popularity, as in deliberately keeping parity between wings in order to maintain plausibility of legitimate govt inaction?
Or is it just a consequence of their extremely similar platforms?
Do you get what I’m trying to say? Is it a feature or a “happy” outcome they simply exploit?
I think a large group of Dems actually buy into the triangulator bs that you see in most "left"wing parties (quotations because they’re not, but you know what I mean.) I don’t know if the leaders buy into it, I know there’s some insidious psy-op at the root of it, meant to kneecap any leftist political party, but I think a very large group actually believes the “aw shucks we really do want to do universal healthcare, but we gotta be more rightwing to get into government.”
These people never interrogate the validity of the claim, let alone the belief that a politicians task is to get elected.
You’ll see this tendency whenever you ask about doing any actual popular policy. “It’s more nuanced than that…” “We gotta be bi-partisan…” “We want to be able to get elected…” “We don’t want to scare away voters…” “We gotta be realistic…”
Like with the decline of US intelligence agencies I think we are now seeing a generation of people who actually believe the propaganda.Yeah the US managed to maintain the separation of propagandized workers and rational imperialist intelligence state mandarins for like…a generation or two, and now everyone just has the same internet brain damage.
The people with money, the folks politicians actually work for, are likely to be more politically similar than different. Both parties are playing towards their true base.
The primaries are over so neither candidate needs to spend too much time paying lip service to the unwashed masses.
So, why not both “feature” AND “happy outcome”?
It’s effectively a feature, but the amount of intentionality is grey, I think bourgeois democracy initially fell into this happy outcome, and it’s a natural balance that occurs from them acting in self-interest, but it is also maintained actively with laws, culture wars, etc.
Which party people vote for seems to entirely depend on “the other guy is worse”, so if both parties do terribly for people when they get in government (and they will because they serve the bourgeois class) then people will always vote for the “only other choice” and voteshame third partyers.
Rinse and repeat and the balance will stay forever around the 50% point while conditions worsen and people remain under the illusion they have a choice.
Welcome to the oligopoly where the rules are made up and points don’t matter
Yeah this is kinda what i meant to say but was too vague originally;
plausibility of legitimate govt inaction? *rather than govt gridlock functioning as a mask for what govt is functioning as rn, an increasingly pernicious fascist regime
Is what i should have said
No gridlock when it’s time to kill brown people
the dem ideal is 51% support and 49% of the votes
I feel like Biden dropping out almost immediately after Trump almost got domed displays a certain degree of intentionality. Trump was going to run away with it at that point and I dont think they want either party having too much political power. Somebody might try to do something with it if that were the case
Damn, that McDonalds visit really did numbers for Trump.
the McBump
Womp womp
wait, that first image is averaging all the battlegrounds together? that’s about as stupid as national polling numbers.
It’s all profoundly stupid but I am a piggy addicted to the horse race
Kamala is ahead by a point nationally but this is an interesting sub story that isn’t getting a lot of play
So even the chuds are seeing through her chud-bait? What a dogshit politicians lol.
Maybe they don’t, but why go for the knock-off when you can have the real deal?
Video game companies learn this lesson once every [popular franchise] cycle, but politicians never do. Legends say they will learn it when movie studios do
chuds don’t like the centrist neocons, they call them Republicans In Name Only (RINOs). The type of Republican Kamala will appoint is basically already a democrat to them, this just further proves there’s no difference between neolibs and neocons
Very good point, I kind of overlooked that fact. Agree tho, the difference between neoliberal and neoconservative is only what they tell themselves.
Yeah Harris is just about done with her conversion to 2004 Republican that literally neither party wants except for rich people who think it’s gonna be fine.
Seems like there’s a centrist 10%, a left liberal 30% & a hooting chud 30%
The remaining 30% are apathetic/checked out/leftwing
Kamala’s strategy is to go after that centrist 10% while abandoning the left liberals and apathetic. That’s why Democrats punch so hard left constantly, they are paranoid about losing their left flank to apathy and they need to whip up fear of “Trump is a fascist” to try and discipline them
Yeah I think she thinks she’s just guaranteed the left liberal vote for being on the supportive side of fascism instead of the active participant side.
And Harris sees her dropping numbers as the centrists wavering but I wouldn’t be surprised if that left/burntout apathy crowd isn’t growing. The whipping is getting more violent and feverish.
