How long will it take for Reddit to die? 5 or more years? Maybe less? What do you guys think?

  • ContrarianTrail@lemm.ee
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    5 hours ago

    This is equivalent of stalking your ex years after breaking up and hoping them to break up with their new partner.

    Move on.

  • 1984@lemmy.today
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    10 hours ago

    Sadly, reddit is not dying. I thought so too but unfortunately only a microscopic amount of users cares about not being subjected to ads, tracking and ridiculous moderation if they get some entertainment in return.

    Same with Instagram, Tiktok, Facebook…

    A lot of people are depressed and tired (because of society design), and needs these things to pass the time in their lives.

    I’m personally making some strong changes in my own life, because I got so ridiculously bored with my own life and realized I’m on the wrong path, spending my time at home so much.

    • Stern@lemmy.world
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      2 hours ago

      Digg, and the name still exists but the site is a wholly different beast then it was, no submitting or voting on posted articles.

  • Fizz@lemmy.nz
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    10 hours ago

    Its going to continue to snowball in size. It has so much money involved its to big to fail. Its hit a critical mass of apathy users who are used to being fucked over by tech.

  • Maxnmy's@lemmy.world
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    14 hours ago

    Reddit won’t die anytime soon. It will just become irrelevant to internet power users such as us. It would take an unfathomably massive fuck up to lose their critical mass of users.

    • Lvxferre
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      13 hours ago

      I agree that Reddit will become irrelevant to internet power users. However, I disagree that it takes a massive fuckup to lose the critical mass of users.

      A simple way to explain this is to imagine that everyone has an individual “I’m pissed and I leave” threshold; if a platform displeases a user more than that threshold, they leave.

      For power users, this threshold is really low, so they ditch platforms like Reddit faster. However, that does not mean that the others aren’t getting displeased - they do; it might not be enough to convince them to leave, but it quickly piles up with other things displeasing them.

      As such, even a large platform can lose that critical mass of users over time, even without a massive fuckup. It’s just about small things piling up.

      Another thing to consider is that power users are more important to a platform than the rest of the userbase, because the power users interact with the platform more. And they’re typically the ones doing janny crap, or finding and sharing content, or that actually have anything meaningful to add instead of “lol lmao”. So once the power users leave, the platform becomes less desirable for the others too, and that’s recursive - as the power users leave, the almost-power users leave too, then the ones after them, so goes on. And there the critical mass goes down the drain.

  • Th4tGuyII@fedia.io
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    6 hours ago

    Considering even MySpace and Digg stuck around despite falling into irrelevancy, I doubt Reddit will ever truly die off…

    But I suspect that even irrelevancy won’t happen anytime soon, simply because there’s no slot-in replacement for Reddit.

    As much as I like the Fediverse, we’re not a slot-in replacement. Decentralisation helps make us more free, but it limits how big we can get as a platform.

    You would need a centralised competitor, something like what Xitter is going through right now with BlueSky and Threads. But for as much as Spez is a piece of shit, he’s no Elon Musk just yet.

  • southsamurai@sh.itjust.works
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    13 hours ago

    Die? It’s not going to die any time soon, on a corporate level.

    It’s already dead in the ways that made it worth using.

  • seathru@lemmy.sdf.org
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    13 hours ago

    How long did it take for Myspace to “die”? Even tho most everyone left, it never did. Now it’s owned by Rupert Murdoch’s News Corp.

    Likewise reddit will live on until there is no longer a single dollar shareholders can milk from it.

    • NateNate60@lemmy.world
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      13 hours ago

      I want to be clear here that this is dangerous messaging. While any individual vote likely has little effect on the outcome of an election, it’s people’s collective vote that does ultimately decide the outcome. And when the electorate is disengaged, disinterested, and apathetic, that is the environment in which fascism and authoritarianism thrives. Voting is not and should not be the end of a citizen’s political participation, but it is still vitally important. Voting should only be the foundation of citizen political participation. It’s also important to campaign, to discuss important political issues with others, and to protest and take direct action against the injustice of the political class. But if you don’t vote and spread the idea that voting is meaningless, your efforts will change nothing.

      This line in particular comes a lot of young people, and it is an absolutely understandable and reasonable conclusion for them to come from seeing as they are the most politically neglected group, and politicians almost never pay more than lip service to the concerns of the young. Youth turnout in elections is historically rubbish, so why would any rational politician pay heed to the demands of a voting bloc that won’t influence the outcome of an election? Politicians who pander to youth voters will lose to politicians who pander to old voters simply because youth voters will stay home while old voters will show up at the polls and vote their guy into office.

      It costs almost nothing to vote and to encourage others to vote as well. So do it. It is irresponsible to spread the idea that voting is meaningless without also attaching the context that if you don’t vote, you have no power at all.

    • Ioughttamow@fedia.io
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      13 hours ago

      Your vote does matter, but your just 1 out of 330 million people. Vote for your locality, and then for national elections for good measure. One day we WILL get a national popular vote unburdened by the electoral college, but we must stay the course

  • Lvxferre
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    13 hours ago

    My guess: there won’t be a specific date that you can poinpoint and say “Reddit died here”. It’ll be a slow decline, with small outbursts of re-engagement. Something like this:

    Profit will follow a similar pattern, as both things are intertwined.