A truly seismic change in the Middle East appears to be happening very fast. At its heart is a devil’s bargain – Turkey and the Gulf States accept the annihilation of the Palestinian nation and creation of a Greater Israel, in return for the annihilation of the Shia minorities of Syria and Lebanon and the […]

Written before fall of Damascus, but prescient.

Maybe still unclear what happens to Allawite region.

Despite funding the coup, Israel/US influence over power may be limited other than funding an invasion of Lebanon, though still not a stable without longterm blowback operation.

Turkey/Islamist control may still be as willing to cooperate with Russia/Iran as the US. But author’s supposition of separating middle east into Sunni Jihadist and Israel rule is most likely. US does not have kingmaker power as it did in Iraq.

  • SGforce@lemmy.caEnglish
    3·
    18 days ago

    The Lebanese army is under control of the USA,

    I dare this guy to say that to one of their faces. Would clear all this up real fast for this “historian”

    • humanspiral@lemmy.caOPMEnglish
      1·
      18 days ago

      The US/Israel influence over Lebanon has always involved supporting its central government over Hezbollah. Hezbollah is popular where it is popular, and has parliamentary representation, and even the US favorites don’t support US over Hezbollah in terms of being pro-Lebanon/ non-treasonous/complete puppet. Its just usual US divisiveness with no carrots for Lebanon/people.