Obviously Ukraine will be a lot smaller and diffrent looking on map by then. Sad to see Montengro, North Macedonia, Croatia, Slovenia, Greece and Romania on wrong side :(

  • SpaceCowboy@lemmygrad.ml
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    2 years ago

    Literally no red nation will go to the blue but literally every blue nation is at risk of revolution in the coming decades and would then flip.

    The economic position of the West is going to become untenable. BTW the war has already begun, covid, economics, trade, and proxy wars. We will look back at the 2014 coup + the sanctions imposed on Russia as the beginning of the war and then 2022 as when the war began in earnest… imo.

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        2 years ago

        I believe so. The aim of a war is to compel a nation to make a decision they would not make of their own volition (To quote Thomas Beaufort “Bloody constraint” - Henry V; Or as Clausewitz put it “war is politics by other means”). And that is what the sanctions, proxies, terrorist orgs, color revolutions, and propaganda campaigns and so forth are designed to do.

        The monetary policies and sanctions represent the financialization of war in much the same way that WWI represented the mechanization of war. Trade wars are no joke. Millions die.

        And I mean the US has been at war with China by funding the terrorists in Xinjiang for years… Just not openly at war.

          • SpaceCowboy@lemmygrad.ml
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            2 years ago

            Communism is assured to win comrade.

            Yeah I actually think the empire may go out with a whimper (no nukes) because the leadership is so incompetent and they would have such a hard time justifying a kinetic war to the population. They will turn to fascism domestically and the people will revolt or be liberated eventually imo.

            The average american literally never knew we were an empire at our height and so they will slowly inexplicably watch their quality of life deteriorate.

            • Kirbywithwhip1987@lemmygrad.mlOP
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              2 years ago

              Yes. Also, what is up with Indians defending Isn’t real and blaming China 24/7 on internet? India is supposed to be based anti-imperialist country, and it is an ally of Russia, but what is up with attacking China and defening ISRAEL?

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                India is a massive target of Western propaganda/soft power. And unlike China, they have not had the political willpower to build a great firewall. Also, the british never really left. In fact some people say that Gandhi was a british agent designed to bring religion into the discussion of independence where it wasn’t before and that making the independence movement focus on hinduism was part of the British Architecture to divide and Conquer Pakistan and India. This would track with the way in which the Pakistani military and ISI can be seen almost as extensions of the UK then the US militaries. India is one of the most resource and population rich nations on earth, just like China and so the Brits were not about to give it up easily. The British have always used religion as a key part of socially engineering populations to create exploitable divisions (divide and conquer) beginning with their own and Irish populations.

                India is not a monolith and not all indians you see online represent India. Furthermore I don’t think that I would call india fully an ally of russia just yet. I would color India purple (and I might make Morocco Blue and turkey purple to a lesser extent)

                Final point, The internet is full of bots, and this is exactly the kind of sentiment they would leverage using astroturfing techniques… supporting Israel against their muslim neighbors.

                  • SpaceCowboy@lemmygrad.ml
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                    2 years ago

                    Many Indian marxists will say it - here is an Indian jurist saying it. the short version is that independence was inevitable but the UK wanted to retain as much influence over India as possible and selected this south african indian-born lawyer they thought they could control and positioned him to lead a “non violent revolution” when in reality there was an ongoing successful Marxist-Leninist (maybe maoist I am not super familiar) revolution which was gaining ground. So it was either independence a the point of a gun or independence they could manage and they could keep the pakistan-india wound fresh in order to manipulate the region. I am missing a lot of details and probably overstating it a bit but that is the gist.

                    Morocco’s king is a western lapdog and Erdogan is definitely in NATO but he really plays both sides. https://thecradle.co/Article/News/14004

            • Munrock ☭@lemmygrad.ml
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              I actually think the empire may go out with a whimper (no nukes) because the leadership is so incompetent and they would have such a hard time justifying a kinetic war to the population.

              I think there’s a different reason they won’t use nukes. The empire serves the interests of the capitalists, and capitalists make less money in a nuclear wasteland. Between a nuclear wasteland and a world where they can’t control the superpower, they’ll take the latter. It’s more profitable.

              It’s why China is surviving US hostility where the USSR didn’t. Deng’s “Lay low and develop the productive forces” strategy made SWCC like a virus that bypasses the immune system and gets into the vital organs. They can’t harm China without harming themselves.

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                2 years ago

                Couldn’t agree more.

                The only thing I would add is that capitalists ought to have it’s own categories. The monopolists (primary sector and logistics) are having a field day gouging the shit out of people right now while other companies suffer bad. Overall though I agree with your assessment.