• redshiftedbrazilian@lemmygrad.ml
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          2 years ago

          US is apparently NOT supporting Bolsonaro, I imagine it is because he has close ties with Trump and a Bolsonaro victory could mean a Trump comeback in the US.

          In the last few weeks the army (that was entertaining with the coup idea) has apperently backed down too.

          That said, there is a very real chance of coup and we should never let our guard down. I do think Bolsonaro is a bit too isolated to be successful, but regardless, the risk is real.

          • Angry_Fuck@lemmygrad.ml
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            2 years ago

            I do like to remember that, as Revista Opera said in this article, in little over a century of republican government, only one coup attempt was backed by the US. To think that a coup’s viability is determined solely (or largely) by US’ help is being ahistorical.

            But, to follow the military is a good indicator. I’d like to point to how a few days ago, Estadão, a liberal rag, had the headline “Winners’ takers, military high command says” (here). The wording is weird. Like, “we’ll respect the vote”, but that does not exclude a putsch after the election, either Lula or Bolsonaro’s way.

            So, it might be a little bit too crazy on my part, but if something is to happen, it’ll be in January.

            In any way, we’ll have our work doubled, even if Lula takes the W. The right-wing is now loud and proud, so is our militant duty to show in the streets, practice our political views in the materialist sense and to curb neofascism.

            • redshiftedbrazilian@lemmygrad.ml
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              2 years ago

              Yeah I 100% agree with you. And Opera is great, their analisys are always amazing.

              Right now the results of the election are out and we are going for a 2 round. Even if Lula wins, one thing is clear: Bolsonarismo is still strong and won’t go away soon.

    • SpaceCowboy@lemmygrad.mlOP
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      2 years ago

      Idk, I think that Russia’s forces in Nicaragua may be able to deter that. That is kind of the message their detachment there sends imo.

      But maybe that is wishful thinking, Brazil is a different animal to Kazakhstan and Mali.

      • Shrike502@lemmygrad.ml
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        2 years ago

        Russia barely has forces to fight in Ukraine it seems half the time. And going to Brazil from Nicaragua to fight Brazilian military in case they will be supporting Bolsonaro? Yeeeeah I don’t think that’ll fly with the people there