I’ve been following a lot of these, and unfortunately nearly all of them are dead.

• YouAmp - Alive, jetpack compose + material v3, but very early in development. Barely any features. Probably our best hope for the future of these.
• Tempo - The best current option, but dead for ~6 months. Has a few bugs, but lots of features. Java, not kotlin, but appears to be material 3.
• Ultrasonic - Great option, lots of features, but dead for ~a year.
• Dsub - Dead for 2 years, but revived now with a few bug fixes via this one. Doesn’t have much of a future, not being jetpack compose / m3.
• Subtunes - Dead for 2+ years.

We haven’t done any releases yet, but no post scores will still be okay.

This page has some background, but historically they’ve always beat polling and any other prediction algorithms as long as they’ve been around.

Gamblers don’t always get it right, but this page has some interesting history: https://electionbettingodds.com/about.html

Gamblers, polls, and the NYT’s most sophisticated prediction algorithms all got it very wrong in 2016, and severely overestimating hillary and underestimating trump. But of those three, the prediction markets were the least wrong.

Sry for the downtime, we’re back up.

We tried several things but weren’t able to diagnose the specific problem, but we’ve narrowed it down to a specific file. We’re keeping track of it in this issue. Most likely its gonna be one of those extremely simple things that got missed.

Thx for being patient, we’ll probably have more downtimes in the future as we need to test more fixes.

I can’t tell which you’re trying to do, apologize for maga chuds or kamala’s abuse of black people and immigrants.

That’s not a poll. It’s an aggregate / average of betting markets.

The tiny minority of sociopaths that sit at the top of the pyramid of US corporations and its state are the self-selected few who got to where they are because they lack empathy. They’re the ones who can’t be convinced out of it.

Take any large group of ppl and there will be a few assholes among them. What’s unique about the capitalist mode of production, is that it makes sure those people run the entire society, and control the nuke codes.

Genocide is never inevitable. It says a lot about the US’s supposed “democracy” that you think it is.

They both dislike Israel for different reasons. Jill Stein is against Israel for its ongoing genocide. David Duke is against Israel because he’s an anti-semite. These are not the same.

The current betting odds aggregations have trump at 58%, harris at 41%

https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president

You don’t care about Kamala’s treatment of black people?

This is the US starting an undeclared war against Yemen to defend Israel. Even with south africa, the US supported that apartheid state more discretely. What’s gonna happen when Israel falls just like SA?

Why? Did the PRC create this system of worldwide surveillance?

The western supremacists are willing to sacrifice every Ukranian civilian, to push NATO east.

Kamala already treats black ppl in practice, how you imagine trump will treat them. She even called black lives matter a russian op. Do you agree with her on that?

I’ve never used induction, is it that bad?

Sure.

I’ll let you read the thing first.

Its not illegal to disproportionately imprison black people for minor drug offenses in the USA, just like slavery was and remains very legal there.